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Humanity amid conflict, terror and catastrophe: hypothetical but possible scenarios

30-06-2007 Article, International Review of the Red Cross, No. 866, by Anthea Sanyasi

This article gives an understanding of the nature, scale and complexity of two hypothetical yet possible events and their potentially overwhelming impact upon health, security and socio-economic productivity. It describes a no-warning CBRNE incident and a gradual rising-tide emergency with a newly emerging infectious disease, summarising a range of likely response actions, impact and constraints, particularly for the humanitarian community.

   

Anthea Sanyasi
is currently working for the Health Protection Agency as Health Emergency Planning Adviser. She has a background in international refugee assistance, research and training, in conflict and humanitarian affairs and disaster management, and in chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, explosive (CBRNE) incidents preparedness and response. 

 
Abstract 
This article offers an understanding of the nature, scale and complexity of two hypothetical yet possible events and their potentially overwhelming impact upon health, security and socioeconomic productivity. It describes a no-warning CBRNE incident and a gradual rising-tide emergency with a newly emerging infectious disease, summarizing a range of likely response actions, impacts and constraints, particularly for the humanitarian community.  

   
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